CHARLOTTE, N.C. – Blacks are already surging to the polls in parts
of the South, according to initial figures from states that encourage
early voting — a striking though still preliminary sign of how strongly
they will turn out nationwide for Barack Obama in his campaign to become the first African-American president. There
have been predictions all year of a record black turnout for Obama. The
first actual figures suggest that wasn't just talk: • In North Carolina,
blacks make up 31 percent of early voters so far, even though they're
just 21 percent of the population and made up only 19 percent of
state's overall 2004 vote. • Roughly 36
percent of the early voters are black in Georgia, outpacing their 30
percent proportion of the state's population and their 25 percent share
of the 2004 vote. No one but the voters
can be sure how they voted. And John McCain's campaign officials note
that the Obama camp has put much more effort than they have into early
voting. But the numbers are still notable. Democrats are outvoting the GOP
by a margin of 2.5-to-1 in North Carolina, where early voting has been
under way for a week. That's roughly double the margin from 2004. More
than 210,000 blacks who are registered as Democrats have cast early
ballots in the Tar Heel State — compared with roughly 174,000
registered Republicans overall. Four years ago, the number of GOP early
and absentee voters was more than double that of black Democrats. "It's
a sign about how energized African-Americans are about this election,"
says David Bositis, who tracks black voting trends at the
Washington-based Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies. In
Louisiana, more than 31 percent of the early voters are black, and
Democrats are topping Republicans nearly 2-to-1. In the crucial
battleground state of Florida, nearly 55 percent of early voters are
registered Democrats — well above their 41 percent share of the
electorate in the Sunshine State. Virginia, another Southern state that usually votes Republican — but where Obama is doing well in opinion polls — does not track voter registrations
by race or party. But some of the largest increases in registrations
this year were in Democratic-leaning cities with large minority
populations. Absentee voting — as the name suggests — was originally designed for people who couldn't make it to the polls on Election Day. But this year, more than 30 states allow any registered voter to cast an early ballot, and many election officials
are encouraging voters to do so to ease the strain on Nov. 4. About a
third of voters nationwide are expected to cast their ballots before
Election Day Obama's campaign has focused heavily on turning out those voters, using advertising and campaign events. That's the message the Illinois senator brought to North Carolina during his last stop, when he addressed a predominantly black crowd in Fayetteville. CONTINUE READING...